At the All Things Digital conference, Steve Jobs predicted that the iPad (some people still call them tablets) will replace the PC. He did not say that PCs will completely disappear, but that only a minority ("one out of x") will use them.
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He compared PCs to trucks and the iPad to a car. When our civilization was transformed from an agrarian to an urban society only a few people kept using trucks. The majority are driving cars nowadays. I suppose with this analogy he wanted to indicate that PCs come from the pre-Internet era. In the post-PC era, the Internet (or perhaps the cloud) will dominate our way of interacting with digital assets and this is why we will need a new device with a user interface that is adapted for this purpose.
The video above shows the interview at D8. The part about the prediction is at the end, but the first part is also worth seeing. (By the way, it is interesting to note that in this interview Steve Jobs also expressed his dislike of bloggers [like me]. I wonder why? Perhaps because in a Web without bloggers Apple even had more control over the media?)
Steve Jobs is obviously impressed by the sales numbers of the iPad. Two million in two months is not too bad. Tablets have been around for a while already, but it appears Apple once more managed to put together common ingredients for a very successful product.
Jobs didn't explicitly say that the iOS will replace Windows. However, I think, he is quite aware of the fact that if his prediction comes true, Apple is in an excellent position to become the new Microsoft.
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Considering that Apple's market cap is now bigger than Microsoft's, it seems as if the markets agree with Steve Jobs. Nonetheless, the markets don't understand as much about PCs as the readers of this blog. Hence, I am curious to know what you think about this prediction. If you just don't believe that the iOS could ever endanger Windows, imagine a tablet that runs Windows 8 with a new user interface that, like the iOS, was designed for touch.